As voting for the Delhi Assembly Elections 2025 concluded, exit polls indicate a historic comeback for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) after a 27-year gap, with most pollsters projecting a clear majority for the party.
Exit Poll Predictions: BJP Leads Over AAP
Exit Poll | BJP (Likely Seats) | AAP (Likely Seats) | Congress (Likely Seats) |
---|---|---|---|
Chanakya Strategies | 39-44 | 25-28 | 2-3 |
Matrize | 35-40 | 32-37 | 0-1 |
P-Marq | 39-44 | 21-31 | 0-1 |
People’s Pulse | 51-60 | 10-18 | 0-1 |
People’s Insight | 40-44 | 25-28 | 0-1 |
Poll Diary | 42-50 | 18-25 | 0-2 |
JVC | 39-45 | 22-31 | 0-2 |
Key Takeaways
- BJP appears set to cross the majority mark of 36 seats, with People’s Pulse predicting the highest range (51-60 seats).
- AAP faces a significant decline compared to its 2020 tally of 62 seats, though Matrize suggests it could still put up a strong fight (32-37 seats).
- Congress continues its decline, with most polls giving it 0-2 seats, further solidifying its irrelevance in Delhi politics.
How Accurate Are Delhi Exit Polls?
Exit polls in Delhi have varied in accuracy over the years:
- 2013: Correctly predicted a hung assembly but underestimated AAP’s strength.
- 2015: Anticipated an AAP win but underestimated its landslide victory (67 seats).
- 2020: Exit polls were more accurate, closely aligning with AAP’s 62-seat win.
What Next?
- The official results will be declared on February 7, 2025.
- If the exit polls hold true, BJP will form a government in Delhi after nearly three decades, potentially reshaping Delhi’s political landscape.
- AAP’s future leadership and strategy may come into question after its decline from dominance.