Delhi Exit Polls 2025: BJP Poised for Victory After 27 Years

As voting for the Delhi Assembly Elections 2025 concluded, exit polls indicate a historic comeback for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) after a 27-year gap, with most pollsters projecting a clear majority for the party.

Exit Poll Predictions: BJP Leads Over AAP

Exit PollBJP (Likely Seats)AAP (Likely Seats)Congress (Likely Seats)
Chanakya Strategies39-4425-282-3
Matrize35-4032-370-1
P-Marq39-4421-310-1
People’s Pulse51-6010-180-1
People’s Insight40-4425-280-1
Poll Diary42-5018-250-2
JVC39-4522-310-2

Key Takeaways

  • BJP appears set to cross the majority mark of 36 seats, with People’s Pulse predicting the highest range (51-60 seats).
  • AAP faces a significant decline compared to its 2020 tally of 62 seats, though Matrize suggests it could still put up a strong fight (32-37 seats).
  • Congress continues its decline, with most polls giving it 0-2 seats, further solidifying its irrelevance in Delhi politics.

How Accurate Are Delhi Exit Polls?

Exit polls in Delhi have varied in accuracy over the years:

  • 2013: Correctly predicted a hung assembly but underestimated AAP’s strength.
  • 2015: Anticipated an AAP win but underestimated its landslide victory (67 seats).
  • 2020: Exit polls were more accurate, closely aligning with AAP’s 62-seat win.

What Next?

  • The official results will be declared on February 7, 2025.
  • If the exit polls hold true, BJP will form a government in Delhi after nearly three decades, potentially reshaping Delhi’s political landscape.
  • AAP’s future leadership and strategy may come into question after its decline from dominance.

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